NOAA: 60% Chance of Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued an update for the Atlantic hurricane season.

NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance).

They’re now predicting 6 to 11 hurricanes (winds of 64 knots or greater). Of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 96 knots or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence.

Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Niño event.

(Image credit: NOAA)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *